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US CPI YoY
- <2% Low
- 2% Fed target
- 3–4% Elevated
- ≥4% High
Set a line on the chart and we’ll email you when Inflation hits it.
Click chart to set · Copy link shares all levels · drag · ↑ ↓
The Consumer Price Index year-over-year change measures how fast U.S. consumer prices are rising versus a year earlier. The Federal Reserve’s longer-run inflation goal is 2% (formally on PCE; markets treat CPI the same way).
CPI prints move the Fed path, real yields, and equity valuations. Hot prints keep policy restrictive; cool prints open the door to cuts.
These are common levels traders set email alerts around — click the chart to place a line at any of them.
We mark the Fed’s 2% target and the low / elevated / high zones on the chart. Set a line near a print you care about — a return toward 2%, a break above 3%, or a spike through 4% — and we’ll email you when the monthly CPI YoY reading crosses it.
Click the chart to set a level, enter your email (or stay signed in), and we notify you when Inflation crosses that line.
The Consumer Price Index year-over-year change measures how fast U.S. consumer prices are rising versus a year earlier. The Federal Reserve’s longer-run inflation goal is 2% (formally on PCE; markets treat CPI the same way).
CPI prints move the Fed path, real yields, and equity valuations. Hot prints keep policy restrictive; cool prints open the door to cuts.
Common levels traders watch: 2% — Fed target — The official longer-run goal. Markets treat a return toward 2% as inflation getting “under control.” 3% — elevated — Above comfort for the Fed — sticky enough that rate cuts usually stay on hold. 4%+ — high — Clearly high inflation for households and markets. Historically keeps policy restrictive. Below 2% — soft / low — Undershooting the goal — can signal weak demand and easier policy ahead.
We mark the Fed’s 2% target and the low / elevated / high zones on the chart. Set a line near a print you care about — a return toward 2%, a break above 3%, or a spike through 4% — and we’ll email you when the monthly CPI YoY reading crosses it. On getmarketalerts.com you click the chart to set a level; we email you when Inflation crosses it.
Low (<2%): Below the Fed’s goal — soft inflation or undershooting. Often associated with easier policy and worries about weak demand. Fed target (2%): The government’s longer-run inflation objective. Markets treat a return toward 2% as the Fed getting inflation “under control.” Elevated (3–4%): Above comfort for most people and for the Fed — sticky enough that rate cuts usually stay on hold. High (≥4%): What households and markets clearly call high inflation. Historically the zone that keeps policy restrictive.