QQQ
- SMA 200
- SMA 50
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Scout
Seven washout gauges for tech — large-cap trend, semis, broader tech, equal-weight participation, sentiment, speculative risk, and fundamentals.
6 of 7 indicators have chart data right now. For breadth, VIX, credit, and ISM see the market bottom tracker →.
Live
QQQ 687.99 (+4.44) · vs 50DMA 715.09 · vs 200DMA 645.04
Nasdaq-100 ETF price relative to its 50-day and 200-day moving averages.
Core large-cap tech trend gauge.
Bottom signal Reclaim of the 50DMA after a washout, or a higher low vs a still-falling 200DMA — trend repair in large-cap tech.
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Pullback in an intact uptrend — short-term weak, long-term still bullish.
| Scenario | Implication |
|---|---|
| Price < 50, Price > 200 | Pullback in uptrend — watch for 50DMA reclaim |
| Price > 50 and 200 | Healthy uptrend — bottom likely already in play |
| Price < 50 and 200 | Real downtrend — no bottom signal yet |
| 50DMA crosses below 200 | Death cross — warning, don’t fight it |
| 50DMA crosses above 200 | Golden cross — bullish confirmation |
Trigger Cleanest flip from pullback → resumed uptrend: price reclaims and holds the 50DMA (715.09) while staying above the 200DMA (645.04).
Live
SMH 540.53 (+1.63) · vs 50DMA 596.17 · vs 200DMA 450.53
VanEck Semiconductor ETF vs its 50-day and 200-day moving averages — a leadership-health gauge for tech.
Semis lead tech cycles both up and down — SMH often breaks before broader tech.
Bottom signal Reclaim and hold of the 50DMA after a washout, or a reclaim of the 200DMA after regime risk — semis stabilizing and often leading a tech turn.
SMH price with 50DMA / 200DMA overlays. Name-level semi breadth (% above 50DMA) is not wired yet.
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Semis correcting but still leading — short-term momentum broken, long-term trend intact.
| Scenario | Implication |
|---|---|
| SMH closes below 50DMA | Short-term semi momentum breaking — often precedes broader tech weakness |
| SMH reclaims & holds 50DMA | Semi correction likely ending; leadership stabilizing |
| SMH crosses below 200DMA | Serious regime-risk for semis — full corrections, not just noise |
| SMH reclaims & holds 200DMA | Potential major low in semis; leadership healing |
| Price > 50 and 200 | Semis leading and healthy |
| Price < 50, Price > 200 | Semis correcting but still leading |
| Price < 50 and 200 | Leadership breaking — broad bottom not yet |
Trigger Cleanest flip from semi pullback → resumed leadership: SMH reclaims and holds the 50DMA (596.17) while staying above the 200DMA (450.53).
Live
^PSE 10227.48 (+38.4) · vs 50DMA 10389.98 · vs 200DMA 9234.69
Broader tech index level vs its own trend (off 52-week highs, above/below 200DMA).
Broader tech benchmark beyond mega-caps.
Bottom signal Index holds above the 200DMA while cutting the drawdown from the 52W high — breadth beyond mega-caps stabilizing.
NYSE Arca Tech 100 from Yahoo (^PSE) with 50DMA / 200DMA overlays.
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What it is The NYSE Arca Tech 100 (^PSE) is a broader technology index — more equal-weighted across tech names than mega-cap-heavy QQQ. Use it to check whether tech strength (or washout) extends past the largest stocks.
Pullback in a still-intact long-term tech trend — short-term weak, 200DMA still support.
| Scenario | Implication |
|---|---|
| Price > 50 and 200 | Broader tech healthy — bottom likely already in play beyond mega-caps |
| Price < 50, Price > 200 | Pullback in uptrend — watch for 50DMA reclaim |
| Price holds above 200DMA | Long-term support intact — drawdown may be stabilizing |
| Price < 50 and 200 | Broad tech downtrend — no confirmation yet |
| Reclaims 200DMA after break | Major-low candidate for broader tech |
Trigger Bottom confirmation: ^PSE holds above the 200DMA (9234.69) and reclaims/holds the 50DMA (10389.98) — broader tech stabilizing, not just Nasdaq megacaps.
Live
RYT/XLK 0.3385 (+0.0017) · XLK 175.35
RYT ÷ XLK ratio trend — equal-weight tech versus mega-cap-heavy XLK.
Confirms a rally isn't just 5–6 mega-caps.
Bottom signal Ratio turns up from a depressed base — rally broadening past the biggest names.
Primary chart is the RYT/XLK ratio. Companion shows XLK price for context.
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What it is RYT is an equal-weight tech ETF; XLK is market-cap-weighted tech (mega-cap heavy). The RYT ÷ XLK ratio shows whether the average tech stock is keeping up with the giants. Rising ratio = broadening; falling ratio = concentration in a few megacaps.
Broadening tape — more of the tech complex joining; supports a durable tech bottom.
| Scenario | Implication |
|---|---|
| Ratio rising | Equal-weight outperforming — rally broadening past mega-caps |
| Ratio falling | Mega-caps dominating — index strength may be narrow/fragile |
| Ratio turns up from a low base | Bottom confirmation — participation returning under the surface |
| XLK up, ratio still down | Leaders-only bounce — wait for equal-weight to catch up |
Trigger Checklist pass: RYT/XLK stops falling and turns up from a depressed base — the tech rally is spreading beyond a handful of mega-caps.
Proxy series
Put/Call 0.8159 (+0)
Options positioning specific to tech names when available.
Sentiment washout specific to tech holdings.
Bottom signal Extreme put buying in tech followed by normalization — sentiment washout in the names you hold.
Showing CBOE equity put/call (market-wide) until a tech-sector put/call feed is wired.
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What it is Equity put/call ratio = put volume ÷ call volume. Higher readings mean more hedging/bearish bets; lower readings mean more bullish/speculative call buying.
Mid-range — not particularly actionable alone.
| Scenario | Implication |
|---|---|
| PCR ≥ 1.2–1.5 | Extreme fear / capitulation — watch for rebound setups |
| PCR > 1.0 | Elevated bearish sentiment — puts dominate calls |
| PCR < 0.5 | Euphoria — aggressive call buying; pullback risk |
| Extreme high → falls toward 0.6–0.8 | Panic peaked and is unwinding — checklist pass |
Trigger Bottom-like signal: PCR surges to a statistically extreme high vs recent history, then drops back toward its normal range (~0.6–0.8) — everyone bought protection, then stopped.
Live
ARKK/QQQ 0.1035 (−0.0031) · ARKK 71.24
ARKK relative strength versus QQQ (ARKK ÷ QQQ).
Early risk-appetite return often shows here first.
Bottom signal Ratio stops falling and turns up — risk appetite returning in speculative growth before it shows in mega-caps.
ARKK/QQQ ratio from Yahoo closes. Companion shows ARKK price.
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What it is ARKK is a basket of high-growth, often unprofitable / long-duration tech and innovation names. QQQ is mega-cap Nasdaq-100 tech. The ARKK ÷ QQQ ratio shows whether speculative growth risk appetite is healing relative to the leaders — a classic early bottom tell.
Risk appetite still weak — ARKK-style names lagging; treat QQQ strength as incomplete without this turn.
| Scenario | Implication |
|---|---|
| Ratio rising | Speculative growth outperforming — risk appetite returning |
| Ratio falling | High-growth lagging mega-caps — risk-off still in force under the surface |
| Ratio turns up from a low base | Early bottom tell — unprofitable tech risk bid returning |
| QQQ up, ratio still down | Leaders-only bounce — wait for ARKK-style names to catch a bid |
Trigger Checklist pass: ARKK/QQQ stops falling and turns up from a depressed base — risk appetite returning in speculative growth before it fully shows in mega-caps.
Coming soon
Coming soon
% of tech companies seeing upward EPS revisions.
Fundamental confirmation, not just price.
Bottom signal Revision breadth troughs and turns up — fundamental confirmation, not just price.
Needs an analyst-revision feed (e.g. FactSet/LSEG-style breadth). Not wired yet.
Educational dashboard, not financial advice. Proxies and gaps are labeled. Confirm bottoms with your own process.