QQQ
- SMA 200
- SMA 50
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Scout
Seven washout gauges for tech — large-cap trend, semis, broader tech, equal-weight participation, sentiment, speculative risk, and fundamentals.
6 of 7 indicators have chart data right now. For breadth, VIX, credit, and ISM see the market bottom tracker →.
Live
QQQ 704.54 (−4.64) · vs 50SMA 709.97 · vs 200SMA 661.14
Nasdaq-100 ETF price relative to its 50-day and 200-day moving averages.
Core large-cap tech trend gauge.
Bottom signal Reclaim of the 50SMA after a washout, or a higher low vs a still-falling 200SMA — trend repair in large-cap tech.
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Pullback in an intact uptrend — short-term weak, long-term still bullish.
| Scenario | Implication |
|---|---|
| Price < 50, Price > 200 | Pullback in uptrend — watch for 50SMA reclaim |
| Price > 50 and 200 | Healthy uptrend — bottom likely already in play |
| Price < 50 and 200 | Real downtrend — no bottom signal yet |
| 50SMA crosses below 200 | Death cross — warning, don’t fight it |
| 50SMA crosses above 200 | Golden cross — bullish confirmation |
Trigger Cleanest flip from pullback → resumed uptrend: price reclaims and holds the 50SMA (709.97) while staying above the 200SMA (661.14).
Live
SMH 542.11 (+0.61) · vs 50SMA 566.84 · vs 200SMA 484.18
VanEck Semiconductor ETF vs its 50-day and 200-day moving averages — a leadership-health gauge for tech.
Semis lead tech cycles both up and down — SMH often breaks before broader tech.
Bottom signal Reclaim and hold of the 50SMA after a washout, or a reclaim of the 200SMA after regime risk — semis stabilizing and often leading a tech turn.
SMH price with 50SMA / 200SMA overlays. Name-level semi breadth (% above 50SMA) is not wired yet.
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Semis correcting but still leading — short-term momentum broken, long-term trend intact.
| Scenario | Implication |
|---|---|
| SMH closes below 50SMA | Short-term semi momentum breaking — often precedes broader tech weakness |
| SMH reclaims & holds 50SMA | Semi correction likely ending; leadership stabilizing |
| SMH crosses below 200SMA | Serious regime-risk for semis — full corrections, not just noise |
| SMH reclaims & holds 200SMA | Potential major low in semis; leadership healing |
| Price > 50 and 200 | Semis leading and healthy |
| Price < 50, Price > 200 | Semis correcting but still leading |
| Price < 50 and 200 | Leadership breaking — broad bottom not yet |
Trigger Cleanest flip from semi pullback → resumed leadership: SMH reclaims and holds the 50SMA (566.84) while staying above the 200SMA (484.18).
Live
^PSE 10281.22 (−3.18) · vs 50SMA 10442.5 · vs 200SMA 9574.99
Broader tech index level vs its own trend (off 52-week highs, above/below 200SMA).
Broader tech benchmark beyond mega-caps.
Bottom signal Index holds above the 200SMA while cutting the drawdown from the 52W high — breadth beyond mega-caps stabilizing.
NYSE Arca Tech 100 from Yahoo (^PSE) with 50SMA / 200SMA overlays.
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What it is The NYSE Arca Tech 100 (^PSE) is a broader technology index — more equal-weighted across tech names than mega-cap-heavy QQQ. Use it to check whether tech strength (or washout) extends past the largest stocks.
Pullback in a still-intact long-term tech trend — short-term weak, 200SMA still support.
| Scenario | Implication |
|---|---|
| Price > 50 and 200 | Broader tech healthy — bottom likely already in play beyond mega-caps |
| Price < 50, Price > 200 | Pullback in uptrend — watch for 50SMA reclaim |
| Price holds above 200SMA | Long-term support intact — drawdown may be stabilizing |
| Price < 50 and 200 | Broad tech downtrend — no confirmation yet |
| Reclaims 200SMA after break | Major-low candidate for broader tech |
Trigger Bottom confirmation: ^PSE holds above the 200SMA (9574.99) and reclaims/holds the 50SMA (10442.5) — broader tech stabilizing, not just Nasdaq megacaps.
Live
RYT/XLK 0.3385 (+0.0017) · XLK 183.74
RYT ÷ XLK ratio trend — equal-weight tech versus mega-cap-heavy XLK.
Confirms a rally isn't just 5–6 mega-caps.
Bottom signal Ratio turns up from a depressed base — rally broadening past the biggest names.
Primary chart is the RYT/XLK ratio. Companion shows XLK price for context.
Click anywhere on the chart to set an alert level.
Click anywhere on the chart to set an alert level.
What it is RYT is an equal-weight tech ETF; XLK is market-cap-weighted tech (mega-cap heavy). The RYT ÷ XLK ratio shows whether the average tech stock is keeping up with the giants. Rising ratio = broadening; falling ratio = concentration in a few megacaps.
Broadening tape — more of the tech complex joining; supports a durable tech bottom.
| Scenario | Implication |
|---|---|
| Ratio rising | Equal-weight outperforming — rally broadening past mega-caps |
| Ratio falling | Mega-caps dominating — index strength may be narrow/fragile |
| Ratio turns up from a low base | Bottom confirmation — participation returning under the surface |
| XLK up, ratio still down | Leaders-only bounce — wait for equal-weight to catch up |
Trigger Checklist pass: RYT/XLK stops falling and turns up from a depressed base — the tech rally is spreading beyond a handful of mega-caps.
Proxy series
Put/Call 0.7861 (+0.0193)
Options positioning specific to tech names when available.
Sentiment washout specific to tech holdings.
Bottom signal Extreme put buying in tech followed by normalization — sentiment washout in the names you hold.
Showing CBOE equity put/call (market-wide) until a tech-sector put/call feed is wired.
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What it is Equity put/call ratio = put volume ÷ call volume. Higher readings mean more hedging/bearish bets; lower readings mean more bullish/speculative call buying.
Mid-range — not particularly actionable alone.
| Scenario | Implication |
|---|---|
| PCR ≥ 1.2–1.5 | Extreme fear / capitulation — watch for rebound setups |
| PCR > 1.0 | Elevated bearish sentiment — puts dominate calls |
| PCR < 0.5 | Euphoria — aggressive call buying; pullback risk |
| Extreme high → falls toward 0.6–0.8 | Panic peaked and is unwinding — checklist pass |
Trigger Bottom-like signal: PCR surges to a statistically extreme high vs recent history, then drops back toward its normal range (~0.6–0.8) — everyone bought protection, then stopped.
Live
ARKK/QQQ 0.1185 (−0.001) · ARKK 83.49
ARKK relative strength versus QQQ (ARKK ÷ QQQ).
Early risk-appetite return often shows here first.
Bottom signal Ratio stops falling and turns up — risk appetite returning in speculative growth before it shows in mega-caps.
ARKK/QQQ ratio from Yahoo closes. Companion shows ARKK price.
Click anywhere on the chart to set an alert level.
Click anywhere on the chart to set an alert level.
What it is ARKK is a basket of high-growth, often unprofitable / long-duration tech and innovation names. QQQ is mega-cap Nasdaq-100 tech. The ARKK ÷ QQQ ratio shows whether speculative growth risk appetite is healing relative to the leaders — a classic early bottom tell.
Risk appetite still weak — ARKK-style names lagging; treat QQQ strength as incomplete without this turn.
| Scenario | Implication |
|---|---|
| Ratio rising | Speculative growth outperforming — risk appetite returning |
| Ratio falling | High-growth lagging mega-caps — risk-off still in force under the surface |
| Ratio turns up from a low base | Early bottom tell — unprofitable tech risk bid returning |
| QQQ up, ratio still down | Leaders-only bounce — wait for ARKK-style names to catch a bid |
Trigger Checklist pass: ARKK/QQQ stops falling and turns up from a depressed base — risk appetite returning in speculative growth before it fully shows in mega-caps.
Coming soon
Coming soon
% of tech companies seeing upward EPS revisions.
Fundamental confirmation, not just price.
Bottom signal Revision breadth troughs and turns up — fundamental confirmation, not just price.
Needs an analyst-revision feed (e.g. FactSet/LSEG-style breadth). Not wired yet.
Educational dashboard, not financial advice. Proxies and gaps are labeled. Confirm bottoms with your own process.